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Friday, October 8, 2010

Capitals Season Prediction

My prediction for this Washington Capitals season:

The Capitals will finish 51-23-8 for 110 points.  They will win the Southeast Division and finish first overall in the East. 

Within the division, many of the teams have improved, which will hurt the Caps win totals, but still no Southeast team will really challenge the Caps.  The Capitals also have young players on the team, which is good in the long run and should help the team in the playoffs, but the Caps will lose many games they should have won early in the season because of youthful mistakes, especially among the goalies. 

Among individual Caps:

Tomas Fleischmann will be traded by New Years.  He will be replaced in the lineup by Mathieu Perreault.

Alexander Ovechkin, Nicklas Backstrom, and Mike Green will make the All-Star Game.  Alexander Semin will play the bongos during the intermission. 

Point Totals:
Ovechkin:  55-75-130
Backstrom:  30-85-115
Semin:  45-55-100
Green:  18-50-78

Rookie Point Totals:
Marcus Johansson:  10-35-45
John Carlson:  9-30-39

Thursday, September 2, 2010

Joe Juneau: Best of the #90s

As part of a Rock the Red series, we are taking a look at the greatest sweater number by the 10s.  First up was the 90s, and #90 took the cake.  Keep an eye out for a new story every day over there.  I decided to expand a little bit on Joe Juneau, one of my favorite Capials of all-time. 

The Nineties:  #90 Joe Juneau, Left Wing

Juneau arrived in DC on March 21, 1994, in a one-for-one swap for defenseman Al "Wild Thing" Iafrate.  On paper, this was a fairly even deal, as Iafrate was one of the best offensive defensemen in the league and the speedy 25-year old Juneau was just coming off a 102-point rookie season where he tied the league record for most assists by a rookie and set a new record for most assists by a left winger with 70, both of which still stand.  In reality, it was one of the most lopsided deals Capitals General Manager David Poile ever made, as Iafrate basically retired after the season with a bum knee and Juneau went on to play 321 games with the Capitals, scoring 63 goals and 236 points between 1994 and 1999. 



Juneau quickly made a good impression with his new club, scoring 5 goals and 13 points in 11 regular season games to finish the season with 85 points in 84 games.  In the playoffs, he promptly potted the winner in the first game of the playoffs, helping the Capitals beat the Pittsburgh Penguins for the only time in franchise history, 4 games to 2.  In all, the Pont Rouge, Quebec, native had 4 goals and 9 points in 11 playoff games as the Caps lost in the second round to eventual Stanley Cup Champion New York Rangers.

The 1994-95 season was strike shortened to 48 games, but it didn't take a rocket scientist to figure out how to play with Peter Bondra (note:  Juneau actual rocket scientist).  Bondra led the league in goals with 34 and Juneau finished 7th in the league with 38 assists for a total of 43 points in 44 games.  The 1992 Olympic silver medalist continued his success with a 14-goal, 64-point 1995-96 season that saw Bondra post another amazing season with Michal Pivonka as his center.   Juneau posted a combined 15 points in 12 playoff games over those two seasons, but was victimized both times by the Pittsburgh Penguins.  This included one of his most famous moments, when he missed a penalty shot in triple overtime on April 24, 1996, a game the Capitals eventually lost.  Juneau had his revenge against Penguins goalie Ken Wregget on November 1, 1996, though, when the former RPI Engineer posted his only Capitals hat trick. 

Juneau missed 50 games to injuries the next two years, missing 50 games and only posting a combined 73 points.  While the Caps missed the playoffs in 1996-97, they made a trade that helped make Juneau into the hero of the 1998 playoffs, acquiring Adam Oates from the Boston Bruins.

Playing on a line with Oates and late-season acquisition Brian Bellows, Joe Juneau lit up the 1998 Stanley Cup playoffs with a then-team record 17 points in 21 games.  Among his 7 goals were 4 game-winners, his first coming in overtime in Game 3 of the first round against Boston, the third was the series winner in the second round against Ottawa, and the fourth was the overtime series winner in the Conference Final against Dominik Hasek of the Buffalo Sabres.  While the Caps eventually lost in four games to the Detroit Red Wings, Juneau had made his mark on Caps history.  He finished his Caps playoff career with 13 goals and 41 points in 43 games.  

The 1998-99 season was a disaster for the injury-riddled and aging Caps.  Juneau had some success, posting 41 points in 63 games, including a few games on the JOB line (Juneau-Oates-Bondra).  As the Caps headed for a playoff miss, Caps GM George McPhee traded away most of their veterans.  So less than a year after Juneau had scored the goal to send the Capitals to their only Stanley Cup Final, he was traded to the Buffalo Sabres for defenseman prospect Alexei Tezikov, who did even less for the Caps than Iafrate did for the Bruins. 


Juneau made the 1999 Stanley Cup Final with the same Sabres he had helped to eliminate the year before. He came within two games of winning the silver chalice only to get hosed by this:

Friday, August 13, 2010

Response to Peerless

I applaud our friend over at The Peerless Prognosticator for his well-researched and thorough post on experience on defense being a major factor when it comes to success in the playoffs in the past decade. Of the ten Stanley Cup defenses he profiled, I would argue the Capitals are most similar to the 2000 New Jersey Devils with their two rookies and the 2004 Tampa Bay Lightning, who only had one real veteran but an otherwise overlooked but quick, puck-moving defense corps.  Many of those teams, though, traded for at least one experienced blueliner during the season. I agree with Peerless that we could stand an upgrade over Tyler Sloan, but even so, there is still hope. 

Wednesday, July 14, 2010

Thoughts from Washington Capitals Dev. Camp Day 2

Click on the title to check out my story on Rock the Red.

Check out my photos from session 1 below.





Marcus Johansson and Burt

Zach Miskovic

McLeod

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Friday, June 25, 2010

Dino Ciccarelli Elected to Hall of Fame

Congratulations are in order for Dino Ciccarelli who was just elected to the Hockey Hall of Fame [THN, HHOF Story, HHOF Profile).  It took a while after his retirement in 1999 to get elected, but his 19-season, 1,232 game NHL career always kept him in the discussion.  He scored 608 goals and 1,200 points along with 73 goals and 118 points in 141 playoff games.  He also appeared in 4 All-Star games and 2 Stanley Cup Finals and posted two 50-goal, 100-point seasons plus another 5 seasons of 40 goals, 4 of 30 goals, and 3 of 20.


He joins former Capitals Rod Langway, Mike Gartner, Scott Stevens, and Larry Murphy in the Hall of Fame.  Ironically, the Capitals traded Gartner and Murphy to Minnesota for Ciccarelli and Bob Rouse on March 7, 1989.  Dino's career with Washington ended after he was traded to Detroit on June 20, 1992, for Kevin Miller (brother of former Caps Kelly and Kip) in a move that was a massive win for the Red Wings.

Why Alexander Semin Needs a Center

Alexander Semin (Александр Валерьевич Сёмин, Pronounced "Syomin") is a remarkably talented hockey player.  He has a skill set to rival anyone's in hockey right now.  He has amazing puck control, slick passing ability, and a shot that most goalies don't see until it's too late.  Some people may question his desire and discipline, but that does not change his impact on hockey games:  he can blow a game open at any moment.  This forces opposing coaches to pay attention to him and draw some of the defensive pressure away from top-line winger Alex Ovechkin.

#28 Alexander Semin

Semin's greatest asset is his ability to create goals without a nice set-up pass.  He scores a large number of his goals this way, much the way Ovechkin did his first couple years in the league.

 
Semin Hat Trick

This begs the question:  if Semin is so good, why couldn't he score in the playoffs?  While Semin definitely had a few chances he should have buried among his first-round leading 44 shots, I would argue Semin did not have a playmaking center who could get him the puck in space to make a play.  My argument is if Semin had a regular center capable of producing at least 20 goals and 40 assists per year, Semin would be a 50 goal and 100 point per season player.  To make this argument, I examine Semin against his teammates and against a relevant example in the NHL.

Thursday, June 24, 2010

NHL Awards

The NHL presented their annual awards last night in Las Vegas.  The full voting results are here.  At the end of the regular season, I made my predictions for the award finalists and winners.  Let's see how I did. 

The Vezina Trophy is an annual award given to the goalkeeper adjudged to be the best at this position as voted by the general managers of all NHL clubs.


Predicted order of finish:
1. Ryan Miller, Buffalo Sabres
2. Martin Brodeur, New Jersey Devils
3. Ilya Bryzgalov, Phoenix Coyotes

And the winner is:

Friday, June 4, 2010

What To Expect From Marcus Johansson

On paper, Marcus Johansson doesn't stand out in any particular way.  The Washington Capitals prospect nicknamed "Mackan" in Sweden is not the biggest player at 5'11 and 190 pounds and he doesn't have flashy numbers.  Even scouts who see him play will say that he doesn't have any particular facet of his game that stands out [Hockey's Future, NHL Draft Scouting Report, Scouting Report, Draft Story]. 

Marcus Johansson on draft day 

Rather, it is his all-around game that is his strength.  A left-shooting forward, he can play center and left-winger equally well.  He is a smart, fast player adept at both offense and defense and he usually comes away with the puck in the corners.  He likes to play with the puck and can usually find the open man with a pass, but he also has a nice shot selection he needs to use more often.  He has good stickhandling skills and good hand-eye coordination, skills that serve him well when he often plays in the heavy traffic areas.  He can be physical but doesn't usually seek contact, which is not surprising considering his 3 concussions, though there have been exceptions:

Wednesday, June 2, 2010

Anton Volchenkov: Future Capital?

Unrestricted free agent (UFA) hunting season begins July 1.  The Washington Capitals do not have tons of holes to plug that they can't fill from within.  They could stand to upgrade in a couple of important positions, most notably the #2 center position and some would argue the team needs the ever-elusive "shut-down" defenseman, also called a "minute-muncher" or a "crease-clearer."  The #2 center vacancy is real, but how real is the need for another defenseman?  I would argue the Capitals do not need another big-time defenseman and the real vacancy is at the #6 defenseman spot. 

Minute-Muncher

Crease-Clearer

Thursday, May 20, 2010

Boyd Gordon's Past and Future

Washington Capitals checking forward Boyd Gordon is a restricted free agent with arbitration rights this summer.  He made $761,250 last season.  In order to retain his services, the Capitals will have to tender him at least a 1-year qualifying offer of 110% of his 2009-10 salary, which equates to $837,375.  Judging by his history and his recent season, all indications point to him accepting his qualifying offer. 

#15 Boyd Gordon

Russia Defeats Canada 5-2 at Worlds

Olympic golden boys Team Canada fell 5-2 to Team Russia in the Quarterfinal round at the IIHF World Championships in Cologne, Germany today, in a game that wasn't as close as the score indicates.  Washington Capitals goaltender Semyon Varlamov held the Canadians scoreless until there was 6:08 left in the game after the Russians stormed out to a 4-0 lead on goals by Maxim Afinogenov, Pavel Datsyuk, Evgeni Malkin, and Sergei FedorovJohn Tavares broke the shutout for Canada before Malkin added an empty net goal.  Matt Duchene added a goal for Canada with 14 seconds left for the final margin.  [Pictures]

#40 Semyon Varlamov

Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Jeff Schultz's Contract

Washington Capitals top-pairing defenseman Jeff Schultz is a restricted free agent this summer.  He made $715,000 last season.  In order to retain his services, the Capitals will have to tender him at least a 1-year qualifying offer of 110% of his 2009-10 salary, which equates to $786,500.  Judging by other young defensemen around the league, Schultz should earn quite a bit more than that, a multi-year deal in the millions.

#55 Jeff Schultz

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Tomas Fleischmann's Contract

Capitals 3rd line left winger and occasional center Tomas Fleischmann is a restricted free agent this summer.  He made $725,000 last season.  In order to retain his services, the Capitals will have to tender him at least a 1-year Qualifying Offer of 110% of his 2009-10 Salary, which equates to $797,500.  Judging by other forwards around the league, "Flash" should be offered a multi-year contract worth at least 7 digits.

#14 Tomas Fleischmann

Monday, May 17, 2010

Eric Fehr's Contract

Now that Washington Capitals General Manager George McPhee has signed his top priority this offseason in Nicklas Backstrom, he can begin to focus on his other pieces.

Capitals 3rd line right winger Eric Fehr is a restricted free agent this summer.  He made $771,750 last season.  In order to retain his services, the Capitals will have to tender him at least a 1-year Qualifying Offer of 110% of his 2009-10 Salary, which equates to $848,925.  Judging by other forwards around the league, Eric Fehr should be offered a multi-year contract worth quite a bit more than that. 

 #16 Eric Fehr

Tuesday, May 11, 2010

Prospect Update: Mathieu Perreault

Today I will profile Hershey Bears center Mathieu Perreault.  Perreault is a 22-year old second year pro from Drummondville, Quebec.  He stands 5'10 and 174, though he seems much smaller than that on the ice.  So far he has played a major role for the Hershey Bears in this year's Calder Cup Playoffs.

The Hershey Bears tore through their first two playoff rounds in a hurry and now face the Manchester Monarchs in the Eastern Conference Final.  They defeated the Bridgeport Sound Tigers in 5 games in the first round and thumped the Albany River Rats in a second round sweep.

Bears #24 Mathieu Perreault

Perreault is Hershey's 5th leading scorer in the playoffs with 9 points in 9 games.  He already has twice as many goals in these playoffs (4) as he had in last year's Calder Cup run, and he has already eclipsed his career high in playoff points, passing the 8 (2-6-8) he scored in 21 games last year.

Monday, May 3, 2010

Remember Sergei Fedorov?

Sergei Fedorov left the Capitals in May 2009 to play with his brother Fedor in Russia after a season and a quarter as the second line center, but when offered the chance to play with his younger brother.  With Fedorov turning 40 in December and the Capitals not offering him the $4 Million they did for the 2008-09 season, it was likely his last chance to make some real money before he retired.

 #91 Sergei Fedorov

When he was acquired from the Columbus Blue Jackets on February 26, 2008, Fedorov brought a veteran presence to the lineup and served as a mentor for many of the younger players, particularly the Russians.  He stabilized the forward lines after the injury to #2 center Michael Nylander and gave Caps coach Bruce Boudreau a second scoring threat at center to relieve the pressure on rookie center Nicklas Backstrom.  A sure-fire Hall of Famer, Fedorov had been one of the most dominant centers in the NHL for years, a physical specimen in his prime who scored 483 goals and 1,179 points, not to mention winning the 1994 MVP and 3 Stanley Cups and another 176 points in 183 playoff games.  He brought confidence and a swagger to the dressing room, but he was a shell of his former self, and as the 2009 playoffs closed, he was gassed after playing too many minutes. 

Saturday, May 1, 2010

What Next Year's Team Should Look Like

Time to get over the loss to Montreal and start to look forward to next year. This is what I think next year's team should be and why.

(cap figures provided by www.nhlnumbers.com)

Forwards

Signed for 2010-2011

Alex Ovechkin $9,000,000, an elite player in the game, a must have for any great team.

Alex Semin, $6,000,000, a very talented but the caps should be very careful about a long term deal.

Mike Knuble $2,800,000, a great veteran player, and fits in well on the top line.

Brooks Laich, $2,400,000, a heart and soul guy and can play on any line.

Jason Chimera, $1,875,000, a fast gritty forward that every team would love to have.

Matt Bradley, $1,000,000, tough guy, a leader and not too expensive.

David Steckel, $1,100,000, good 3rd or 4th line center and a great face off guy.

Mathieu Perreault, $650,000, he could be a future second line centre.

Thursday, April 29, 2010

Series Notes - Philadelphia Flyers

Here are some interesting notes on the Philadelphia Flyers.  

On The Shelf
With the injuries to center Jeff Carter and winger Simon Gagne, the Flyers are losing major firepower.  Carter has led the team in goals the past two seasons (46 and 33) and Gagne is their active leader in career goals (259).  Both players underwent foot surgery last week and are not expected to play in the second round of the playoffs. The Flyers literally shot themselves in the foot this time. 

  #17 Jeff Carter         #12 Simon Gagne

Flyers winger Ian Laperriere made a Quintin Laing-type play by blocking a shot with his face.  He is likely gone for the remainder of the playoffs.  He was one of their best penalty killers, something Philly desperately needs against the Capitals. 

#14 Ian Laperriere

Philadelphia-Washington Regular Season Series

Washington Capitals Record vs. Philadelphia Flyers:  3-0-1

 vs.
The Games
October 6 in Philadelphia:  5-6 Overtime Loss
Goalies:  Ray Emery vs. Semyon Varlamov and Jose Theodore
Caps PP: 1/5, Caps PK 5/8
Shots For: 36, Shots Against: 41
Game Winner:  Daniel Briere
Notes:  Mike Richards had a hat trick, Matt Carle had 4 assists, Matt Bradley fought Ian Laperriere, Varlamov was pulled midway through the game after allowing 4 goals. 


October 27 in Washington:  4-1 Win
Goalies:  Ray Emery vs. Jose Theodore
Caps PP: 1/3, Caps PK 3/5
Shots For: 36, Shots Against: 43
Game Winner:  Alexander Semin
Notes:  Nicklas Backstrom scored 4 points, Jose Theodore stopped Darroll Powe on a penalty shot. 

Faceoff Comparison: Philadelphia-Washington

I have broken down the faceoffs between the centermen on the Washington Capitals and the Philadelphia Flyers.  For the purposes of this comparison, I am including numbers from both the regular season and the playoffs (through April 25th.)

I will focus this discussion on the four primary Washington Capitals centers who took the most draws against the Flyers this year:  Brendan Morrison, Nicklas Backstrom, and David Steckel.  I will also include notes on two leading Capitals faceoff men who saw limited action against the Flyers this year: Boyd Gordon (2 games) and Eric Belanger (1 game).

From the Philadelphia Flyers, I will focus on Mike Richards, Blair Betts, and Claude Giroux, the three healthy players who have taken the most faceoffs for the Flyers this season.  Top faceoff winner Jeff Carter (52.1% of 1,378 draws this season) is out indefinitely after foot surgery, surgery that is required because the Flyers shot themselves in the foot

Injured #17 Jeff Carter

It looks like the Capitals will have a tougher time in the faceoff circle this series than they did against the Canadiens.  Even without Carter, the Flyers have better faceoff men than the Habs and certain matchups are less than favorable.  That does not mean the Capitals will struggle, though.

Wednesday, April 28, 2010

Game 7 Prediction

This is for you, Johnny-Come-Lately sour-puss, old time Caps fans who can't forget the past, and for all those crazy Habitants who really think Montreal will win.  If you're a bandwagon fan, hop on.  You won't be sorry you hitched a ride on the Caps Wagon, even if you leave for baseball in a few weeks, but don't tell us about our team if you just started watching last month.  For you old timers - This is not the same team you watched in Landover.  For you Habs fans - this is in English. 

The Washington Capitals will take the ice with a new look/old look team.  Deciding he needs some more experience on the ice, George McPhee brings Craig Laughlin, Alan May, and Ken Sabourin out of the studios back onto the ice for one final choke-job.  Laughlin, a veteran of the 1985 and 1987 choke job teams, leaves the Comcast color job to don his old #18, which he takes back from Eric Belanger along with the rest of his teeth by laughing-gassing him on the dentist's chair. Unfortunately for Locker, his jersey is in black and white, since nobody can seem to remember him playing on a color TV set.  Alan May, veteran of the 1992 choke team, leaves the Comcast studios and wins a game of rock-paper-scissors to take #16 back from Eric Fehr.  Fehr reverts to his old #14 since Tomas Fleischmann has been declared dead after going missing for so long.  Ken Sabourin, the radio color analyst and veteran of the 1992 choke job, once was the proud wearer of the number 8.   He loses his jersey number Rochambeau battle with Alex Ovechkin, who countered Sabby's scissors with the response "Russian Machine never loses," and instead takes his other Caps uniform number, #2.

Western Playoff Predictions, Round 2

First Round Recap
For once my First Round predictions out West were better than my picks back East.  I nailed all 4 first round series, with one minor exception.  That's not to say my Round 2 picks will work, though.

#1 San Jose Sharks def. #8 Colorado Avalanche in 6 games
#2 Chicago Blackhawks def. #7 Nashville Predators in 6 games
#3 Vancouver Canucks def. #6 Los Angeles Kings in 6 games  (I said they'd do it in 5)
#5 Detroit Red Wings def. #4 Phoenix Coyotes in 7 games

Second Round Predictions
#1 San Jose Sharks vs. #5 Detroit Red Wings
Having home ice advantage should help the Sharks quite a bit, as will not having had to play a 7th game in their series.  Detroit is a veteran, playoff tested team, and the Sharks are early round chokers, right?  That said, San Jose will win the series.  Goaltending isn't a big strength for the Red Wings or the Sharks, both teams have a lot of scoring talent and veteran defensemen.  Detroit may have dominated the season series, but the Sharks are just as tired of losing as Detroit is just tired.  That's not to say Detroit will make it easy for them.  San Jose will advance in 7 games. 

#2 Chicago Blackhawks vs. #3 Vancouver Canucks
A fairly even season series and both teams played to 6 games in the opening round.  Vancouver has been getting superb goaltending from Roberto Luongo and he's much better than what the 'Hawks have.   Bth teams have excellent offense and some injury issues on defense.  Chicago's home ice may be the deciding factor, but I think it will be goaltending.  Vancouver in 6.

Tuesday, April 27, 2010

Elimination Game


There were 18 individual Capitals out there instead of a team in Game 6.  The Caps have got to play like a team, crash the net for rebounds, deflections and screens and stop making a decent goalie look like a god.  Jaroslav Halak is not Patrick Roy or Ken Dryden, Joe Beninati and Craig Laughlin need to tone it down.  The Caps didn't exactly make it difficult for him, they let him see the shots, they let him get set for shots, didn't get second chances, and when they did, they put the puck into his leg pads or his chest.  Alexander Semin 15 feet from the goal with nobody within 10 feet of him should be an automatic goal, and Semin shot it like his kid sister was in the goal and he didn't want to hurt her feelings.  Yeah there were a few bounces that didn't do the Capitals' way, but it's funny you only seem to notice them when you're losing. Get traffic on Halak and make him uncomfortable, then tell me he looks like Patrick Roy. 

Saturday, April 24, 2010

Is it time for fresh troops?

With the uninspired play displayed by several Capitals in Game 5, it might be time to deploy new soldiers for Game 6.  The first reason is the players who were benched will be raring to go, the second reason being the players who get benched will be raring to go the next time they play.

The question becomes, what do the Capitals have on the bench and what does that mean for the lineup?

Forwards
Center David Steckel is a known quantity in these playoffs, having already appeared in the first two games of the series.  He had a +1 rating, no points or penalties, and won 14 of 24 faceoffs (58.3%). 

#39 David Steckel

Thursday, April 22, 2010

Capital Milestones, 4/22/10

After last night's game in Montreal, several Capitals have achieved milestones.

-Semyon Varlamov won his 10th career playoff game.  With his 3rd win of the season, he has moved into second place in team history in wins by a rookie, behind himself.  Remember he turns 22 in five days.  

#40 Semyon Varlamov

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Backstrom vs. Forsberg

Nicklas Bäckström has often been compared to his countryman Peter Forsberg.  Forsberg is a hockey legend, this is not a comparison that should be made lightly.  I will take a look at their beginnings and their first three NHL seasons to see if the comparisons are justified. 

The Beginning
#21 Peter Forsberg

Peter Mattias Forsberg, known as "Foppa" in Sweden, was born July 20, 1973 in Örnsköldsvik, Sweden.  He stands 6', 205, and is a left-shooting centerman.  His father was his coach in Sweden and was the national team coach. He was drafted by the Philadelphia Flyers with the 6th overall pick in the 1991 Enrty Draft and is considered arguably the best center in that draft.  He was traded to Quebec as part of the deal that sent #1 overall pick, center Eric Lindros, to Philly.  He began his NHL career at age 21 with the Nordiques during the strike-shortened 1994-95 season in French-speaking Quebec City. 

#19 Nicklas Bäckström

Nicklas Lars Bäckström, known as "Backis" in Sweden, was born November 23, 1987 in Gavle, Sweden.  He stands 6'1, 210, and is a left-shooting centerman.  His father, Anders, was a New York Rangers draft pick played 10 seasons of professional hockey.  He was drafted by the Washington Capitals with the 4th overall pick in the 2006 Entry Draft and is considered the best center from that draft.  He began his NHL career at age 19 with the Capitals during the 2007-08 season.

Comparison:  They are similarly sized players with the same handedness at the same position.  Both have strong pedigrees and grew up in the Swedish system.  Both were highly touted prospects and were taken very early in their respective drafts. 

Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Team Record Watch

The Washington Capitals have an excellent offensive team, and even though it has only been three playoff games, several Capitals are already approaching historical marks.

John Carlson, the super-rookie Captain America defenseman, already has 2 assists in these playoffs.  The Capitals record for assists by a rookie in the playoffs is 3, a four-way record held by wingers Yvon Corriveau (1986), Andrew Brunette (1996), Dmitri Khristich (1991), and Richard Zednik (1998).

 #74 John Carlson

I think Carlson will break the record this Spring.  What complicates matters is that he will officially be a rookie again next season, which brings us to our next hero.

Monday, April 19, 2010

Familiar Faces

Here are some interesting notes on the Montreal Canadiens:

Familiar Faces
Canadiens center Glen Metropolit is expected to make his series debut tonight.  Metro began his career as an undrafted free agent with the Washington Capitals in 1999-00 before leaving for Europe after the 2002-03 season.  He played 101 regular season games for the Caps, scoring 10 goals and 47 points, a +10 rating, and only 26 PIM.  He also appeared in 3 playoff games.  While he was not teammates with any of the current Capitals, he did play with Capitals right winger Mike Knuble with the Philadelphia Flyers last season.  In his minor league wanderings prior to coming to Washington, he had played with former Capitals Lou Franceschetti, Gaetan Duchesne, Reggie Savage, and Jeff Toms

Metropolit led the Canadiens with 10 powerplay goals this season.  He was supposed to be out 6-8 weeks with a separated shoulder suffered March 27. 

#15 Glen Metropolit

Unfamiliar Faces
-Of the 20 Montreal Canadiens to suit up against the Washington Capitals in this playoff series, 11 are in their first season with the Canadiens and 7 were drafted by the franchise.  By comparison, of the 21 Capitals to dress in this series, 6 are in their first season with the team and 9 were drafted by the franchise. 

Family Ties
-The Montreal Canadiens feature a pair of brothers, Andrei and Sergei Kostitsyn of Novopolotsk, Belarus.  Andrei is just over two years older than Sergei, they are listed at the same height and weight (6', 210), and both are left-shooting left wingers.


#46 Andrei Kostitsyn   #74 Sergei Kostitsyn

Wednesday, April 14, 2010

Playoff Predictions, Round 1

In the East:
#1 Washington Capitals vs. #8 Montreal Canadiens
Washington will take the series in 5 games.  Montreal will win one game because they play us tough, but they don't have the size, speed, firepower, chemistry, defense, or goaltending to really stand a chance against the Presidents' Trophy winning Capitals.

#2 New Jersey Devils vs.  #7 Philadelphia Flyers
The Flyers squeaked into the playoffs on the last day of the season because the Rangers couldn't beat them in a shootout.  They have serious problems in their top-heavy lineup, especially in goal, but they seem to come alive in the playoffs.  Martin Brodeur has had serious problems with the Flyers all season and after playing 77 games should be approaching burnout.  Flyers in 7. 

Snake's Round One predictions

EAST

Caps vs Habs

The Habs backed their way into the playoffs this year and really don't belong. 3-4-3 in the last ten is no way to end the season. Yes, they played the Caps close, but I really don't see them winning a single playoff game against the Caps.

Caps in Four

Flyers vs Devils

In the last two years, the Flyers have always stepped it up during the playoffs, even last year when they played the Pens and lost in the first round.  Now, I can't say the same for Jersey. It also doesn't hurt to have Chris Pronger on your team.

Flyers in 6

Faceoff Comparison: Montreal-Washington

I have broken down the faceoffs between the centermen on the Washington Capitals and the Montreal Canadiens. I have included Brendan Morrison, Nicklas Backstrom, and David Steckel of the Washington Capitals.   I have not included Eric Belanger, who went 4 for 9 in his one game against the Canadiens this season while with Minnesota.  From Montreal I have included Tomas Plekanec, Scott Gomez, and Dominic Moore; their other major faceoff man, Glen Metropolit, is injured.

The Capitals should enjoy a solid territorial advantage against the Canadiens, they have done well against them in the circle, though the addition of Dominic Moore at the trade deadline may add to their strength.  Remember the first and third games of the season series were in Washington, for those tracking home and away faceoff success. 

Montreal-Washington Regular Season Series

The Games:
November 20 in Washington:  2-3 Loss
Goalies:  Price vs. Neuvirth
Caps PP: 0/3, Caps PK 1/2
Shots For: 34, Shots Against: 22
Game Winner:  Mike Cammalleri

Capitals Regular Season Recap

My prediction for the Capitals season was not quite what transpired.  On September 30, I predicted a 57-17-8 regular season for 122 points and 1st place in the East, which includes winning the Southeast Division.  The Capitals finished 54-15-13 for 121 points and 1st in the Southeast, 1st in the East plus 1st in the League.  I also predicted the Capitals would play Ottawa in the first round, Philadelphia in the second round and Pittsburgh in the third round.  As usual, my western prediction was wrong, I picked Anaheim to play in the Final. 

 The President's Trophy

The Capitals set team records for the most wins (54), most points (121), most road wins (24), most road points (55), most home points (66), and tied for most home wins (30).  The led the league in goals (313) and goal differential (+85).  They has the league's best powerplay by far (25.2%) and scored the most powerplay goals (79).  They led the league in goals in each period of play (92, 103, and 112).  The finished second in overtime goals (6).  They led the league in home wins (30-5-6) and tied for the lead in road wins (24-10-7).  This marked a dominating season by the Capitals. 

Tuesday, April 13, 2010

NHL Awards Predictions

It's the end of the NHL regular season, it's the time of year when hockey writers, general managers and players write their ballots for the shiny trophies to be handed out in June.  The finalists for these awards will be announced during the playoffs, and here are my predictions for those awards, ranked in expected order of finish. 

The Vezina Trophy is an annual award given to the goalkeeper adjudged to be the best at this position as voted by the general managers of all NHL clubs.


Saturday, April 10, 2010

More Milestones

-Congratulations to Alex Ovechkin for scoring his 50th goal, his fourth 50 goal season out of five.  He also recorded his 59th assist, with is now tied for 8th All-Time in Capitals history.  His 59th assist is the most ever by a Capitals winger.  Ovie also reclaimed the lead in the league goal scoring and points races.

-Congratulations to Nicklas Backstrom for recording his first ever 100 point season.  This is the first season in Caps history that two players have recorded 100 points in the same season.  Backis is on the verge of becoming the second Capital to record 70 assists, he sits third in Caps history with 68 and is tied for second in the league.

-Congratulations to Jose Theodore for recording his 30th win of the season.  This is his fourth 30-win season and second as a Capital.

-Congratulations to the whole team for becoming the first non-Original Six team to record 120 points in a season.

-It's safe to say we won't be playing the Boston Bruins in the first round.  It looks like Montreal, Philadelphia, or New York.

Friday, April 9, 2010

NHL Stanley cup playoff commericals

I really think the NHL messed up the new NHL stanley cup playoff commercials. They had a great idea, show great highlights from playoffs past. It had great music, the piano was piece is very memorable. Where it messes up is having these great plays done backwards, it's like you don't even know what is going on unless you rewind it DVR style. Another problem is that these plays are almost 20 years old, so showing them backwards, (unless you're over 40 and have a photographic memory) you're most likely not going to remember any of these plays, so showing them backwards does nothing to get new fans excited about the playoffs.

What this does is just confuse the average fan and anger a great fan like me who just want to watch some cool hockey action with nice music and a little message at the end. The NHL has done this right before with it's cup raise video done in 2008. It's is just a pity that the NHL need to resort to gimmicks when it already has a great game.

Wednesday, April 7, 2010

Capitals 6, Penguins 3

On another night when the Capitals seemingly had nothing to play for, they sure played well against a team that had quite a bit to play for.  The Pittsburgh Penguins were playing one of their last games in their old arena and Sidney Crosby was turbocharged with 3 points to reach 100 for the season.  They kept turning pucks over and their goalie couldn't get the job done, and even though the referees only called one penalty on them, the Capitals made them pay.




Tuesday, April 6, 2010

Capitals Recall Alzner and Beagle

The Washington Capitals have announced the recalls of Karl Alzner and Jay Beagle from the AHL Hershey Bears.  Their AHL player pages are linked below their pictures. 

 Karl Alzner               Jay Beagle

Capitals 3, Bruins 2 (OT)

The Capitals won in dramatic fashion on a night they could have let one slip away.  After having already secured the top seed in the league the Caps could have mailed in the final four games; even Mike Green had the night off.  But sensing this might be an opponent they'd see in the first round of the playoffs, they smelled blood and attacked.

The Capitals jumped out to a quick lead, although quick may be too generous of a word.  Nicklas Backstrom took a shot that dribbled through the goalie Tuukka Rask's pads.  When Alex Ovechkin, who had set up the goal with a sublime cross-ice feed, saw the puck trickling toward the goal line, he started the celebration.   The goal came at 7:36 into the game, and the video review took just as long.  It seems likely that if referee Bill McCreary had not emphatically gestured for a goal it would have been disallowed, marking the first time in recent memory he has helped the Capitals.

Monday, April 5, 2010

Capitals Win Presidents' Trophy

With their team record 51st win on Saturday night, the Washington Capitals have clinched their first ever Presidents' Trophy

What is the Presidents' Trophy, you ask?   It is for having the best regular season point total in the league.  While little kids don't play pond hockey in the dead of winter and dream of carrying this trophy around in celebration, it's still quite an honor.  Some people say that it's better not to win the trophy because only 7 Presidents' Trophy winning teams have also won the Stanley Cup since the award was first presented in 1986.  Fear not, more #1 overall teams have won the Cup than any other position in league standings, and it provides home ice advantage throughout the playoffs, sort of like an immunity challenge in Survivor, minus the babes in bikinis.

Jose Theodore: Money Goaltender, Part 2

In my last post, I examined the suitability of Jose Theodore to lead the Washington Capitals to the Stanley Cup based upon is prior playoff experience.  In this installment, I will compare Theodore to historical comparables.

 Jose Theodore

I will first show that Jose Theodore is well positioned to be a Stanley Cup winning goalie based upon the Stanley Cup-winning goalies since 2004.   Next I will show that high scoring teams with occasionally porous defense do not produce top goaltending statistics, beyond wins, but that does not mean the goaltender in question is incompetent, nor does it matter come playoff time.